All 33 MPO Fantasy Projections for DGPT-C 2025
| Order | AF Rank | DGPT Rank | MPO Player | Rating | 2025 Place |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | Gannon Buhr | 1062 | 15 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | Calvin Heimburg | 1051 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | Ricky Wysocki | 1050 | 10 |
| 4 | T3 | 4 | Paul McBeth | 1048 | 6 |
| 5 | T7 | 7 | Kyle Klein | 1044 | 9 |
| 6 | T3 | 3 | Isaac Robinson | 1048 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | 9 | Niklas Anttila | 1046 | 12 |
| 8 | T7 | 8 | Ezra Robinson | 1043 | 4 |
| 9 | 16 | 10 | Adam Hammes | 1036 | 33 |
| 10 | 6 | 6 | Anthony Barela | 1045 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | 13 | Aaron Gossage | 1037 | 3* |
| 12 | 19 | 18 | Chris Dickerson | 1037 | 11* |
| 13 | T10 | 12 | Sullivan Tipton | 1040 | 19 |
| 14 | 23 | 15 | Cole Redalen | 1039 | 23 |
| 15 | 17 | 14 | Andrew Marwede | 1036 | 28 |
| 16 | 15 | 11 | Ezra Aderhold | 1032 | 32 |
| 17 | 12 | 17 | Evan Smith | 1037 | 8 |
| 18 | 13 | 16 | Simon Lizotte | 1037 | 22 |
| 19 | T27 | 21 | Bradley Williams | 1034 | 24* |
| 20 | 18 | 19 | Gavin Babcock | 1034 | 14* |
| 21 | 25 | 22 | Luke Taylor | 1033 | 5* |
| 22 | 30 | 28 | Matt Orum | 1034 | 16* |
| 23 | T27 | 27 | Andrew Presnell | 1029 | 21** |
| 24 | T21 | 25 | Eagle McMahon | 1033 | 7 |
| 25 | 20 | 20 | Corey Ellis | 1033 | 20* |
| 26 | T10 | 35 | Lauri Lehtinen | 1042 | 18* |
| 27 | T27 | 23 | Casey White | 1031 | 17 |
| 28 | T21 | 26 | Mason Ford | 1034 | 30 |
| 29 | 24 | 24 | Paul Krans | 1032 | 26 |
| 30 | UR | 49 | Nestori Tuhkanen | 1020 | 27 |
| 31 | 57 | 56 | Chris Clemons | 1018 | 25 |
| 32 | UR | 47 | Rasmus Saukkoriipi | 1012 | 31* |
| 33 | 40 | 36 | Ben Callaway | 1022 | 29 |
Tip: Put mobile phone in landscape mode for better view of table.
quick color guide
| EB | Best | For full color guide - click here | Worst | EW | ||||||
Our hope is these rankings inform those entertaining wagers as well as entice fans of the pro tour.
First published: 7:00 am on Wed. Oct 15th, 2025 (full list of 33)
Last updated: TBD (where we’d usually note players dropping, if any)
Last checked: TBD, same as when first published.
Event results added: 10:45 am on Mon. Oct. 20th (see Measuring Accuracy notes at end below)
Nuances Unique to Event Rankings for Season Finale
Our in-season Event Rankings (ER) have different aims and goals than this ER does for the season finale. The in-season ER on MPO side is routinely dealing with events of 110 playing or more, and we typically stick to the top 25. The finale has just 33 total playing, and much stronger field than a typical event.
All of our in-season ER lists routinely make note of ties since all events on the pro tour have them. This particular list from us has no ties. Even if the official event does have ties, we like the principle that DGPT has previously had in play where seeding of players going in is breaking of any ties at the end of the Championship. And so we are invoking that with this list of projections. If say 5th seed Ricky ties 9th seed Niklas at the end of this event, we’d call Ricky the winner of that tie, due to better seeding.
Our tables are always vibrant with colors, and our colors are always serving purpose of conveying layered data and depicting nuance found in each column, while staying true to our color scheme (Quick Color Guide above).
This is around our 40th attempt at an Event Ranking for prominent MPO event, and our 3rd try at the DGPT Championship. It’s never easy making event predictions, while it is always fun and compelling. The finale is easier due to lower field size and the advantages given to higher seeds by the DGPT.
Deep Dive on Color Scheming for This Event
Typically, our ER pages contain the following paragraph regarding methodology: Colors are adding in layers of added information, that convey how well AF assesses they are doing so far this season, as well as historical performance at the tournament in the past 5 years. Please see our Event Rankings Guide for colorful details.
For this event, there’s enough adjustments to the typical Guide, to be of note on this page.
The AF Rank column is of course noting where we rank each player in our standard ranking list, which for MPO is covering a total of about 95 fantasy relevant players in MPO. For the 33 playing in this event, it is covering 7 to 8 tiers of players, out of 9 to 11 tiers we have in play.
There are actually 2 players on the list who we do not rank, but did for this event. Typically during in-season Event Rankings we make note on a separate list some of the unranked players in the mix, and our rationale for why they aren’t ranked by us. For this event, last of the season, we just assumed best to add them in and move along. Chances are both Nestori and Rasmus are making our end of 2025 full rankings list, but never quite made it to our in-season rankings in 2025.
The top tier (yellow) is in play as for MPO with Buhr occupying that space comfortably. Tiers 2 thru 6 are all represented on the DGPT Champion ER, plus there’s a player (Chris C.) from tier 8 in the mix as he earned wild card spot in the 2025 playoffs.
The Player Name column is following our in-season approach to conveying player performance at the event in past 5 years. Color background on the name cell means they’ve played at least twice of 5 times possible in past 5 years, and have an average matching the tiers. Five MPO in 2025 are coming in on top tier, meaning they’ve taken 5th place or better on average in past 5 years at this event. Unlike FPO, there are 2 players in the mix in MPO who’s player performance in past 5 years is 4th tier, while most others are 3rd tier or better. 4th tier is possible to get in a field size of 33, and while there are very strong players in the mix, there are arguably some weak links in the mix. If Player Name has no background color, it means the player has played the event once before in past 5 years, or 2025 is first time they are playing in past 5 years (red text).
The remaining columns are explained below.
As for the Rest
The Order column has no color and is intended to be a neutral color. Typically, the Event Rankings have many ties in the projections, but as noted earlier, we essentially see no chance for the results to end in a tie by way we see the event results conveying final place.
The final column for actual 2025 place gets added in our post event update. It is us assessing how well we did, or didn’t do.
Typically in our in-season rankings we will note notables not playing and unranked players in the mix, plus other related notes. This event does have a couple notables that came close or did qualify and dropped, so we thought we’d note those.
The DGPT Rank column is the seeds for the event. And color is related to the stroke advantage each is given. Yellow being best means Buhr as #1 seed is getting -8 as starting score. And then it goes down in score from there with each color change, such that light green gets -7, dark green gets -6, gold -5, and so on down to mid red and dark red and the 4 plus 5 players that are all starting at even (0).
Rating column is conveying their PDGA rating which updated just 2 days prior to start of this event, and color here is noting their rating ranking within the event as it compares to how we have the player projected. If it is exact match for rating rank, it is mid orange. 1 spot better is light orange, just as 1 spot worse is dark orange. It means they’re projected to finish relatively close to their rating rank or exactly on it. The top 4 on the list are all projected by AF to finish in order matching rating rank. Bradley W. coming in at 19th in the order, also has rating rank of 19th for the event, which may be of help in deciphering the code that is within the color scheme. Dark orange actually covers 1 or 2 spots worse, meaning player is predicted to be up to 2 spots worse than their rating rank, and for this smaller field event, we’re calling that a half tier. After light orange is gold that conveys 2 spots better than rating rank. The green and red are for 3 to 6 spots off, or just under a tier to 1.5 tiers either better (green) or worse (red) than their rating rank. Yellow is best for 7+ spots better than rating ranking, and on MPO side there are 2 such players, plus the worst (gray) also has 2 on MPO that match that prediction value. Ezra Aderhold is the highest over rating rank (10 spots), as his history at the event is solid, and he is 11th seed, getting -4 as starting score. Lauri L. who we’ve had ranked in top 10 much of last part of the 2025 season is coming in worst on rating rank as he is projected to finish 16 spots off is 10th in rating rank for the event. Him starting at zero strokes doesn’t help, plus it is his first time playing this course (in past 5 years).
| 2 NOTABLES NOT AT DGPT-C |
|---|
| Mauri Villman (Inv – dropped) |
| Jake Monn (29 – first one out) |
Measuring Accuracy
We make it a point to follow up each Event Rankings with a ‘how did we do’ and to make that information public, or transparent. Our Event Rankings Guide explains how we handle accuracy for a typical event, but DGPT championship is not a typical event, and so we have to adjust our scale, make it tighter, to be more fair. For MPO, we are going with our FPO Prediction Accuracy as that scale comes close enough to what we see making sense for a field of 33.
As a reminder, we chose to break ties that the official results from the event did not, and so our list is essentially unofficial recording. We did add an asterisk by the place number to note that place minus 1 is what was their official place (as a tie). In one case, we have 2 asterisks, which means that place minus 2 was their official place. There was just one instance of 3 way tie in the official standings, and nothing greater than the 3-way.
It still strikes us as a bit odd that the seeding that players work for all year, amounts to one extra stroke in this finale event, and that ties play at the end. This particular event seems to get tweaked every year, so perhaps things change as soon as next season. The 8 strokes Buhr got on the bottom part of the field, and extra stroke he had on entire field, much to everyone’s surprise, didn’t seem to help him in this event as he was 14 spots off of his starting seed. To us, that means our prediction of him to win it was ‘well off’ (red). Our prediction for Hammes to finish top 10 was ‘way off’ (gray). Fortunately there is just one prediction that was way off, but enough red squares on the list to feel like we didn’t do so well.
We had 3 ‘correct picks’ which all three were 1 off, but what we call ‘spot on’ (yellow). So around 9% on that accuracy, when our target is 20% and that we hit for MPO (picking 25 total) during GMC a month ago (28% to be exact). For the DGPT Championship, we did get a walloping 18 on the ‘semi close’ picks (green), which amounts to 55% on that area of accuracy. Our goal during the season is to get 45% on semi close or better (green + yellow) and we easily hit that with around 64% number. Semi close on this adjusted scale is within 6 spots of predicted place. 18% of the picks were ‘somewhat off’ (orange) or up to 12 spots off, as we had 6 of those. Which leaves 18% left for ‘well off or worse’ (red and gray), as we also had 6 of those (combined).
Not too bad of a way to end the season, though there always feels like room for much improvement. This is the final Event Rankings for MPO in 2025, and we very much look forward to continuing this unique and innovative ranking list into the 2026 season.
