Post event update: Some newer names popped up on top of leaderboard for this event, or names that 2+ years ago won most events on tour. Some big names clearly struggled, like Orum not finishing in top 80, or Calvin top finishing in top 30, or even Barela not finishing in top 5 for first time in 2024. Gotta be tough for Anthony still showing up as #1 ranked player of this season, after this event.

Our event predictions for Music City Open on MPO side was a mixed bag. We did the same as last week, on the semi close or better assessment, noticeably better on the spot on guesses, and noticeably worse on the well off or worst predictions. Here is the quick rundown:

• 35% of our picks were semi-close or better to being accurate
  • 11% or 8 of 75 were spot on, with 0 of them being exact matches
• 41% of our picks were well off, or worse
• Which means around 24% were in the middle of those two

The goal for MPO predictions remains at us getting 20% or better that are spot on.

What’s below is what was published before the event started, other than final results of event.

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Our event rankings, or predictions for how each player will place among a set of 75 fantasy relevant players, continues with the next Elite event on the pro tour. Our hope is these rankings inform fantasy disc golf participants as well as entertain fans of the pro tour. 

First published: 2 am on Wednesday Apr. 10th (for top 10 list)
Last updated: Fri. 4/19, 3 am (reflect Eagle and Melton drops)
Last checked: Fri. 4/19, 6 am (no changes)

Simplicity

The event predictions are truly meant to be viewed as simple list, depicting projected order they’ll finish from 1 through 75, along with their AF latest ranking (updated earlier this week), then player name, rating, and actual place they end up at 2024 MCO.

Our 2024 early season goal aims for 20% accuracy with correct predictions. We recently achieved this, for our first time, on FPO side, and got 19% accuracy on MPO side 2 events ago. It is quite challenging, humbling and enjoyable.

Meets Nuances

Color in the list explains other relevant information that added columns might make rather boring. This includes tier the player current resides, historical performance at the event, and player value relative to their rating and ranking for the event. After the event, in the actual place column, we use color to depict how close or well off our predictions were. For more details on color, please see this detailed overview of the colors from a month ago.

For our MPO list only, we added 2 colors to the mix represented in the Color Guide below. EB (light green) is for ‘even better’ than best, and EW is not ‘ewww.’ Instead it stands for ‘even worse’ than worst. This pertains to Rating column and player value. Yellow (best) and gray (worst) are depicting players 1+ tiers above or below their ranking by rating. These added colors are going 2.5 tiers or more above or below rating rank.

As for the Rest

Our approach is to track and rank all fantasy relevant players. Of the 35 or so MPO in the field that are playing, but not part of our list, there are 3 types of players in that mix. Some are ones we rank who are outside top 75, and saved as a sort of waiting list in case others on the list drop from the event. The 2nd type are players who we are tracking, but are not quite fantasy relevant. They could be by the next event, and we will continue to monitor them. The 3rd type are lower rated players who may surprise many and do well at the event, though typically over 3 rounds of elite level play, they tend to settle near the bottom of the standings. Our hope is to rank them someday. With that said:

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Tip: Put mobile phone in landscape mode for better view of tables below.

quick color guide

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Top 25 MPO Fantasy Projections for MCO

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Next 25 MPO Fantasy Projections for MCO

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Final 25 MPO Fantasy Projections for MCO