Top 30 FPO Tournament Projections at MVP Open

Tip: Put mobile phone in landscape mode for better view of table.

quick color guide

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Post event update: The semi finals of DGPT playoffs went to Missy Gannon as winner. Between her, Tattar, Holyn and Eveliina, they’ve won most of the events in FPO for pro tour. One would need to go back to Portland Open to find another winner (Pierce won that). Final major of the year is next up, with Major events clearly favoring Eveliina in 2024.  

Our projections ended up just okay for this event. We did make our accuracy scale much tighter than usual. Here are the numbers:

• 13% (4 of 30) were spot on, with 1 being an exact match
• 50% (15 of 30) were semi close or better (yellow and green combined)
• 23% (7 of 30) were somewhat off (orange)
• 27% (8 of 30) were well off or worse (5 red and 3 gray combined)

Our goal of achieving 20% spot on predictions, or better, was missed, as well as our newer goal of 55% for FPO predictions to be semi close or better. Predicting Tattar to take 2nd for her 3rd year in a row at this event was our strong prediction. Throw Pink Championship is the event next up, with a full list of 30 projections, battling in the final Major, just before the finals. 

What’s below is what we published before the event started.

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Event rankings are the new kid on the block for listing pro players in an orderly way for upcoming events of the pro disc golf season. Our hope is these rankings inform fantasy disc golf participants as well as entertain fans of pro disc golf for this particular event.  

First published: 1:00 pm on Wednesday Sept 18th (original top 10)
Last updated: Wed. Sept. 25th, at 5:15 pm, full list of 30 published with new (and improved) top 10
Last checked: Thur. Sept. 26th, at 1:00 am, no changes since last update

A Winning Formula

…is what we someday hope to write about our Event Rankings, and show off just how good AF is at predicting results for pro disc golf tournaments. It continues to show up as challenging, quite humbling, and addictive fun. Predictive analysis is certainly important, though we are learning it takes courage no formula can reasonably obtain. 

With that said, our modest goal is to achieve 20% accuracy in our predictions for the top 30 in FPO, as well as 55% on what we call semi-close or better, or within a tier of being a correct prediction. We count 1 place off in FPO as correct (enough), while exact matches are the ideal. Most weeks we don’t quite hit the goal, but so far in 2024, we have hit the target 6 or 7 times, getting 20% accuracy..

Keeping It Simple

The event predictions are truly meant to be viewed as simple list, depicting projected order they’ll finish from 1 through 30, along with their AF latest ranking (updated earlier this week), then player name, rating, and actual place they end up at 2024 MVP Open.

Colors are adding in layers of added information, that convey how well AF assesses they are doing so far this season, as well as historical performance at Maple Hill tournaments in the past 5 years. Please our Event Rankings Guide for colorful details.

Ranked Players and the Unranked

Of the 5 or so FPO in the field that are playing, but not part of our list, there is (for playoffs) 1 type of player in that mix. These are ones we rank who are outside top 30, and saved as a sort of waiting list in case others on the list drop from the event. All FPO players in this event are ones we actively rank. With that said:

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