Top 30 FPO Tournament Projections at Throw Pink

Tip: Put mobile phone in landscape mode for better view of table.

quick color guide

Post event update: Kristin Tattar won the final FPO Major of the 2024 season, and her 2nd Major victory in 2024 (also won European Open). Ohn Scoggins, Eveliina Salonen and Holyn Handley being in top 4 fits with how the season unfolded, with Missy Gannon being surprisingly outside top 10, given she won the first major of the season (Champions Cup) and won the previous event (Maple Hill).  

Our projections ended up so so for this event. We did pick the correct winner of the event for around our 8th time this season, though the rest of our predictions were again, so so. Here are the numbers:

• 10% (3 of 30) were spot on, with 2 being exact matches
• 47% (14 of 30) were semi close or better (yellow and green combined)
• 23% (7 of 30) were somewhat off (orange)
• 30% (9 of 30) were well off or worse (6 red and 3 gray combined)

Our goal of achieving 20% spot on predictions, or better, was missed, as well as our newer goal of 55% for FPO predictions to be semi close or better. Accurately picking Tattar in 1st and #1 ranked Holyn correctly predicted to finish 4th are a feather in our cap. DGPT Championship is the next, and final, event of the 2024 Pro Tour, where event rankings are abbreviated and the field stacked with the very best players of the 2024 season. . 

What’s below is what we published before the event started.

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Event rankings are the new kid on the block for listing pro players in an orderly way for upcoming events of the pro disc golf season. Our hope is these rankings inform fantasy disc golf participants as well as entertain fans of pro disc golf for this particular event.  

First published: 1:45 am on Thursday Oct. 10th (full list of 30)
Last updated: TBD (this is usually where we note dropped players)
Last checked: Same as first published.

A Winning Formula

…is what we someday hope to write about our Event Rankings, and show off just how good AF is at predicting results for pro disc golf tournaments. It continues to show up as challenging, quite humbling, and addictive fun. Predictive analysis is certainly important, though we are learning it takes courage no formula can reasonably obtain. 

With that said, our modest goal is to achieve 20% accuracy in our predictions for the top 30 in FPO, as well as 55% on what we call semi-close or better, or within a tier of being a correct prediction. We count 1 place off in FPO as correct (enough), while exact matches are the ideal. Most weeks we don’t quite hit the goal, but so far in 2024, we have hit the target 6 or 7 times, getting 20% accuracy..

Keeping It Simple

The event predictions are truly meant to be viewed as simple list, depicting projected order they’ll finish from 1 through 30, along with their AF latest ranking (updated earlier this week), then player name, rating, and actual place they end up at 2024 Throw Pink.

Colors are adding in layers of added information, that convey how well AF assesses they are doing so far this season, as well as historical performance at Throw Pink tournaments in the past 5 years. Please our Event Rankings Guide for colorful details.

Ranked Players and the Unranked

Of the 20 or so FPO in the field that are playing, but not part of our list, there are 3 types of players in that mix. Some are ones we rank who are outside top 30, and saved as a sort of waiting list in case others on the list drop from the event. The 2nd type are players who we are tracking, but are not quite fantasy relevant. They could be by the next event, and we will continue to monitor them. The 3rd type are lower rated players who may surprise many and do well at the event, though typically over 4 rounds of major level play, they tend to settle near the bottom of the standings. Our hope is to rank them someday based on them rising up. With that said:

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